First, the user is asking about the pirate game, a classic game theory problem. It involves five pirates who must distribute 100 gold coins, with each pirate proposing a distribution in order (from 1 to 5), and others voting. The proposal needs more than half the votes to pass; otherwise, the proposer is thrown overboard.
The key points:
I need to solve this from a multi-step game perspective, meaning I should work backwards from the end because it's a sequential game with perfect information.
Start from the smallest number of pirates and build up.
Case with 1 pirate:
Case with 2 pirates:
Standard interpretation: For n pirates, majority is strictly more than n/2 votes.
Typically, in this game, the proposer votes for their own proposal, so:
I think I recall that for even numbers, it's tricky. Let me confirm the standard setup.
Upon second thought, in most versions, "more than half" means at least ceil(n/2) + 0.5, but practically, for n pirates, it requires at least floor(n/2) + 1 votes or something. Let's think.
For n=5: half is 2.5, more than half is at least 3 votes.
For n=4: half is 2, more than half is at least 3 votes? No, more than 2 means 3 or more, but for 4 pirates, 3 votes are needed since 2 is exactly half, not more.
Standard rule: the proposal passes if the number of yes votes is strictly greater than no votes. Since there might be abstentions, but in this game, pirates vote yes or no, so it's based on votes cast.
In this problem, it says "投票要超过半数同意", which means "votes must exceed half agreed". So, for n pirates, it needs votes > n/2.
I think for n=2, it requires both to agree, which makes sense because if only one agrees, it's not more than half.
But let's proceed with standard game theory approach.
Work backwards:
Start with 2 pirates: Pirate 4 and Pirate 5.
Mistake: If pirate 4 proposes, and it's rejected, pirate 4 is killed, and then only pirate 5 remains, so pirate 5 gets 100.
For pirate 5:
With 2 pirates:
The priority: survival first, then maximize gold, then minimize others' gold or throw overboard.
For pirate 5:
But if X=0, Y=100, pirate 5 gets 100 if he votes yes, or 100 if he votes no. Since he is indifferent in gold, but he might prefer to vote no to kill pirate 4, as per the third priority.
In standard game theory for this problem, when indifferent, pirates will vote to save the proposer to avoid risk or something, but I think the common assumption is that if indifferent, they vote yes to pass the proposal.
Let's recall the standard solution.
Typically, for 2 pirates:
But to be precise, let's look for a reliable source in my knowledge.
I remember that in the standard pirate game, for 2 pirates, pirate 4 gives 100 to pirate 5 and 0 to himself, and pirate 5 votes yes because if he votes no, he gets nothing extra, but since he gets 100 anyway, and voting no might not change his gold, but the proposal failing means he is alone, so he is fine, but he has no incentive to vote no.
The key is that pirates prefer more gold, and if gold is same, they prefer to save others or kill, but the third priority is to throw overboard if possible.
From the problem: "海盗是理性的,优先考虑自身生存,然后最大化金币,最后如果无差别,就希望把别人扔下海。"
So, priorities:
For 2 pirates:
But that means with 2 pirates, no proposal can pass? That can't be right.
For n=2, if pirate 4 proposes anything, pirate 5 votes no to kill him and get 100, so it always fails. Then pirate 4 is killed, and pirate 5 gets 100 alone.
But that means pirate 4 cannot propose anything to save himself, so he dies, and pirate 5 benefits.
In that case, with 2 pirates, pirate 4 is always killed if he proposes, so it's better for him not to be in that position, but in the sequence, he has to propose.
For n=2, the proposal will always fail because pirate 5 can vote no to kill pirate 4 and get all.
But then, when we have more pirates, we need to consider that.
I think I have a mistake. Let's check online or standard knowledge.
Upon recollection, in the standard 5 pirate problem, for 2 pirates, pirate 4 can propose to give 0 to himself and 100 to pirate 5, and pirate 5 votes yes because if he votes no, he still gets 100, but by voting yes, he gets 100 and saves pirate 4, which might be preferred since throwing overboard is only if indifferent and no cost, but here voting yes saves pirate 4 at no cost, so he might vote yes.
But the priority is: if indifferent in gold, they want to throw others overboard. So if gold is same, they prefer to vote no to kill.
Let's assume that.
For 2 pirates:
But that can't be, because in the 5 pirate problem, it works with backward induction.
Perhaps for n=2, "more than half" with 2 pirates: half is 1, more than half is 2 votes, so both must agree.
But since pirate 5 can force a no, it fails.
However, in many sources, it's assumed that for n=2, pirate 4 gives 100 to pirate 5, and pirate 5 votes yes because he is rational and gets the gold without killing, but according to the priorities, if he is indifferent, he wants to kill.
To resolve this, I think for the sake of the game, we assume that when indifferent in gold, they vote in a way that is neutral, but the standard solution has them voting to pass.
Let's look for the correct approach.
I recall that in the pirate game, pirates will accept an offer if they get at least as much as they would in the next round, considering their payoff if the proposer is killed.
For 2 pirates:
But then with 2 pirates, the proposal always fails, and pirate 4 dies.
Now for 3 pirates: pirates 3,4,5.
Pirate 3 proposes.
He needs votes >1.5, so at least 2 votes (since 2>1.5).
He will vote for himself, so he needs one more vote.
If proposal rejected, pirate 3 killed, then only pirates 4 and 5 left, and as above, with 2 pirates, proposal fails, pirate 4 killed, pirate 5 gets 100.
So in the subgame with 2 pirates, pirate 4 gets 0, pirate 5 gets 100.
Back to 3 pirates:
So pirate 4 will accept any offer with at least 1 gold, because if rejected, he gets 0.
Pirate 5 will accept only if offered at least 100, but total is 100, so not possible.
Pirate 3 can bribe pirate 4 with 1 gold, and give 99 to himself, and 0 to pirate 5.
Then:
So proposal: (99,1,0) for (3,4,5).
Pirate 5 gets 0, but he wanted to vote no to get 100, but since the proposal passes, he gets 0.
Now for 4 pirates: pirates 2,3,4,5.
Pirate 2 proposes.
Needs votes >2, so at least 3 votes (since for n=4, >2 means at least 3).
He votes for himself, so needs two more votes.
If proposal rejected, pirate 2 killed, then pirates 3,4,5 left, and from above, with 3 pirates, pirate 3 gets 99, pirate 4 gets 1, pirate 5 gets 0.
So payoffs if rejected: pirate 3:99, pirate 4:1, pirate 5:0.
Pirate 2 needs to get two of them to vote yes.
He can target those who get less in the next round.
Pirate 5 gets 0 if rejected, so he will accept any positive offer.
Pirate 4 gets 1, so he needs at least 1 to be indifferent or better.
Pirate 3 gets 99, so he needs at least 99 to accept.
Pirate 2 can offer 1 to pirate 5, who will accept since 1 > 0.
He can offer 1 to pirate 4, but pirate 4 gets 1 already, so if offered 1, he is indifferent; since indifferent, he might vote no to throw overboard.
Similarly, pirate 3 would need 99 to be indifferent, but pirate 2 can offer less.
To save cost, pirate 2 should offer to those who are cheaper to bribe.
Pirate 5: will accept any offer >0, since he gets 0 otherwise.
Pirate 4: gets 1 if rejected, so he will accept only if offered >1, or if =1, he is indifferent and might vote no.
Pirate 3: needs >99 to accept, but not possible or expensive.
So pirate 2 can offer to pirate 5 with 1 gold, and to someone else.
He needs two votes besides himself.
He can offer 0 to pirate 3, 0 to pirate 4, and 1 to pirate 5, and 99 to himself.
Then:
"超过半数" means strictly more than half.
For n=4, half is 2, so >2 means at least 3 votes.
With two yes, it's not enough, so fails.
Pirate 2 needs three yes votes.
He votes yes, so he needs two more.
He must get two others to vote yes.
Pirate 5 will vote yes if offered at least 1 (since he gets 0 otherwise).
Pirate 4 gets 1 if rejected, so to get his vote, need to offer more than 1, say 2.
Pirate 3 gets 99, so expensive.
So pirate 2 can offer 2 to pirate 4 and 1 to pirate 5, and 97 to himself, 0 to pirate 3.
Then:
Pirate 4 was offered 2, which is better than 1, so he votes yes.
If pirate 2 offers only 1 to pirate 4, pirate 4 gets 1, same as if rejected, so indifferent. Since indifferent, he might vote no to throw overboard, as per priority.
To ensure his vote, offer more than what he gets.
Similarly, pirate 5 gets 0, so offer 1 is sufficient.
So proposal: pirate 2:97, pirate 3:0, pirate 4:2, pirate 5:1? Total 97+0+2+1=100.
But pirate 4 gets 2, which is more than 1.
Yes.
Pirate 2 could offer pirate 5 with 1, and pirate 3 with something, but pirate 3 needs 99 to be indifferent, which is costly, so better to bribe cheaper pirates.
Now for 5 pirates: pirates 1,2,3,4,5.
Pirate 1 proposes.
Needs votes >2.5, so at least 3 votes.
He votes for himself, so needs two more votes.
If proposal rejected, pirate 1 killed, then pirates 2,3,4,5 with pirate 2 proposing, and from above, with 4 pirates, pirate 2 gets 97, pirate 3 gets 0, pirate 4 gets 2, pirate 5 gets 1.
So payoffs if rejected: pirate 2:97, pirate 3:0, pirate 4:2, pirate 5:1.
Pirate 1 needs to get two of them to vote yes.
He can target those who get less.
Pirate 3: gets 0 if rejected, so he will accept any positive offer, say 1 gold.
Pirate 4: gets 2, so he needs more than 2 to accept.
Pirate 5: gets 1, so needs more than 1.
Pirate 2: gets 97, so needs at least 97 to accept, expensive.
Pirate 1 can bribe pirate 3 and pirate 5.
Pirate 3: offer 1, since he gets 0, so he votes yes for 1.
Pirate 5: gets 1 if rejected, so to get his vote, need to offer more than 1, say 2.
Then pirate 1 can take 97 for himself, offer 1 to pirate 3, 2 to pirate 5, and 0 to others.
Total: 97 + 0 + 1 + 0 + 2? Pirates: 1,2,3,4,5.
Distribution: pirate 1:97, pirate 2:0, pirate 3:1, pirate 4:0, pirate 5:2.
But pirate 4 is offered 0, but if rejected, he gets 2, so he prefers to vote no since 0<2.
Similarly, pirate 2 offered 0 <97, votes no.
Pirate 3 offered 1 >0, votes yes.
Pirate 5 offered 2 >1? 2>1, so he should vote yes.
Pirate 1 votes yes.
Votes: pirate 1 yes, pirate 2 no, pirate 3 yes, pirate 4 no, pirate 5 yes.
So three yes (1,3,5), two no (2,4), so 3>2.5, passes. More than half of 5 is 2.5, 3>2.5, yes.
Pirate 5 was offered 2, which is greater than 1 he gets if rejected, so he strictly prefers yes.
Pirate 3 offered 1 >0, votes yes.
Pirate 4 offered 0 <2, so votes no.
But pirate 1 has the votes: himself, pirate 3, and pirate 5.
He could offer pirate 4 instead, but pirate 4 needs more than 2, say 3, which is more expensive than offering 2 to pirate 5.
Offering 1 to pirate 3 and 2 to pirate 5 costs 3, same as offering 3 to pirate 4, but then pirate 5 might not vote, but with pirate 3 and pirate 5, he has the votes.
In this case, it works.
He could offer to pirate 4 with 3, and pirate 3 with 1, but then pirate 5 gets 1 if rejected, and offered less, might vote no, but he doesn't need pirate 5 if he has pirate 4 and pirate 3.
But offering 3 to pirate 4 and 1 to pirate 3 costs 4, whereas previous costs 3 (1+2), so better to offer less.
97 to himself, 1 to pirate 3, 2 to pirate 5, 0 to pirate 2 and pirate 4.
Total: 97+0+1+0+2=100.
Yes.
Pirate 4 is offered 0, gets 2 if rejected, so votes no.
But since pirate 1 has three votes, it passes.
Now, is there a way to save gold? For example, if he offers pirate 5 with 1, but pirate 5 gets 1 if rejected, so if offered 1, he is indifferent; since indifferent, he might vote no to throw overboard.
Similarly for pirate 3.
In this case, for pirate 5: if offered exactly 1, he gets 1 if yes, or 1 if rejected? If rejected, he gets 1 in the next round? With 4 pirates, he gets 1, as above.
In the 4-pirate case, pirate 5 gets 1.
So if pirate 1 offers 1 to pirate 5, pirate 5 gets 1 if he votes yes, or if he votes no and proposal rejected, he still gets 1 in the next round.
So he is indifferent in gold.
Since indifferent, he will vote no to throw pirate 1 overboard, as per the third priority.
Similarly, pirate 3: if offered 1, he gets 1 if yes, or 0 if rejected? If rejected, with 4 pirates, pirate 3 gets 0, as above.
In 4-pirate case, pirate 3 gets 0.
So if offered 1, he gets 1 >0, so he strictly prefers yes.
For pirate 5: if offered 1, he gets 1 if yes, or 1 if rejected (since in next round he gets 1), so gold same, indifferent, so he votes no to kill.
Therefore, if pirate 1 offers 1 to pirate 5, pirate 5 votes no because indifferent and wants to throw overboard.
To get pirate 5's vote, he must offer more than what he gets, so more than 1, say 2.
Similarly, for pirate 3, offering 1 is sufficient since 1>0.
Pirate 4 gets 2, so if offered less, he votes no, but not needed.
So optimal: pirate 1 offers himself 98? Let's calculate.
He needs to offer to pirate 3: at least 1, but since 1>0, he accepts.
To pirate 5: must offer more than 1, so at least 2? Since if offered 2, 2>1, strictly better, so votes yes.
If offered exactly 1, indifferent, votes no.
So offer 2 to pirate 5.
Then to pirate 3: offer 1.
Pirate 2 and 4: offer 0.
Himself: 100 -1 -2 =97? 97 to himself.
97+1+2=100, yes.
As before.
He could offer pirate 4 instead.
Pirate 4 gets 2 if rejected, so offer more than 2, say 3.
Then pirate 3 offer 1.
Total cost 4, himself 96, worse.
Or offer pirate 2, but he gets 97, expensive.
So best is to offer pirate 3 with 1 and pirate 5 with 2.
Thus, proposal: pirate 1:97, pirate 2:0, pirate 3:1, pirate 4:0, pirate 5:2.
Now, to confirm the votes:
Pirate 1: votes yes
Pirate 2: offered 0 <97, so votes no
Pirate 3: offered 1 >0, so votes yes
Pirate 4: offered 0 <2, so votes no
Pirate 5: offered 2 >1, so votes yes
Yes votes: 1,3,5 → three yes, which is more than half (2.5), so passes.
Pirate 1 maximizes his gain at 97.
But the user asked for the first pirate, which is pirate 1.
In the sequence, pirate 1 proposes first.
So allocation: pirate 1 gets 97, and bribes pirate 3 and pirate 5.
Now, to write the response.
The user message is in Chinese, so final response should be in Chinese.
User said: "5个海盗抢得100枚金币:..." and the question in Chinese.
So reply in Chinese.
But first, in the reasoning, I used English.
Now, for the final answer.
Pirate 1 should propose: himself 97, pirate 2: 0, pirate 3: 1, pirate 4: 0, pirate 5: 2.
To state it clearly.
从多步博弈的角度分析海盗问题,我们需要使用逆向归纳法(backward induction),从海盗数量最少的情况开始,逐步推导到5个海盗的场景。海盗的优先级为:1. 生存;2. 最大化金币;3. 如果金币无差别,则希望将别人扔下海。投票规则是:方案必须获得超过半数的同意票才能通过(即严格多于当前海盗数的一半),否则提议者被扔下海。
1个海盗(只剩海盗5):
2个海盗(海盗4和5):
3个海盗(海盗3、4、5):
4个海盗(海盗2、3、4、5):
5个海盗(海盗1、2、3、4、5):
海盗1为了使自己的收益最大化,应提出以下分配方案:
此方案确保海盗1获得97枚金币,同时获得海盗3和海盗5的支持票,使方案通过。海盗1的收益达到最大化,因为任何其他方案要么无法获得足够票数(导致他被扔下海),要么他获得更少的金币。