预备调查清单
待核查内容1:“外科医生照片”(The Surgeon's Photograph)的真实性与背景。
待核查内容2:关于尼斯湖存在大型未知生物的声呐探测记录。
待核查内容3:2018年利用环境DNA(eDNA)对尼斯湖生物多样性进行的研究结论。
待核查内容4:尼斯湖的生态环境是否足以支持一个“水怪”种群的生存。
待核查内容5:“尼斯湖水怪”传说的起源与演变。
行动计划
首先,让我搜索关于尼斯湖水怪的基本信息。
Search
尼斯湖水怪 科学证据 真假我需要深入调查尼斯湖水怪的真相,首先让我搜索更多关于科学研究和证据的信息。
Search
尼斯湖水怪 外科医生照片 真相 伪造现在我需要了解更多关于2018-2019年的DNA研究,这似乎是最科学的调查之一。
Search
尼斯湖水怪 2018 DNA研究 奥塔哥大学 鳗鱼现在我需要了解更多关于尼斯湖水怪的目击事件和科学解释。
Search
尼斯湖水怪 驻波现象 光学错觉 自然解释已核查结论清单
已核查内容1:“外科医生照片”(The Surgeon's Photograph)的真实性与背景。
已核查内容2:2018年利用环境DNA(eDNA)对尼斯湖生物多样性进行的研究结论。
已核查内容3:关于尼斯湖水怪目击事件的各类自然现象解释。
待补充核查清单
待核查内容1:关于尼斯湖存在大型未知生物的声呐探测记录。
待核查内容2:尼斯湖的生态环境是否足以支持一个“水怪”种群的生存。
待核查内容3:“尼斯湖水怪”传说的起源与演变。
现在,让我搜索关于声呐探测尼斯湖水怪的更多信息。
Search
尼斯湖水怪 声呐探测 Operation Deepscan 1987我需要了解更多关于尼斯湖的生态环境和科学研究情况,特别是关于2018年DNA研究的详细信息。
Search
尼斯湖 环境DNA研究 2018 Neil Gemmell 详细结果现在我需要了解更多关于尼斯湖的生态环境,特别是它能否支持大型生物的生存。
Search
尼斯湖 生态环境 鱼类资源 承载力 大型生物我需要了解尼斯湖水怪传说的历史起源,以便全面分析这个现象。
Search
尼斯湖水怪 传说起源 圣高隆邦 历史记载 565年已核查结论清单
已核查内容1:“外科医生照片”(The Surgeon's Photograph)的真实性与背景。
已核查内容2:2018年利用环境DNA(eDNA)对尼斯湖生物多样性进行的研究结论。
已核查内容3:关于尼斯湖存在大型未知生物的声呐探测记录。
已核查内容4:“尼斯湖水怪”传说的起源与演变。
待补充核查清单
待核查内容1:尼斯湖的生态环境是否足以支持一个“水怪”种群的生存。
行动计划
现在,让我搜索关于尼斯湖生态系统承载力的信息。
Search
Loch Ness ecosystem carrying capacity fish biomass ecological study我需要更多关于尼斯湖生态系统的信息,特别是关于鱼类资源和生物量的数据。
Search
Loch Ness fish population biomass ecological carrying capacity scientific study我需要查看哈佛大学的那篇关于尼斯湖怪物种群密度的研究,这可能包含关于尼斯湖生态系统承载力的重要信息。
796
COMMENT
THE POPULATION DENSITY OF MONSTERS IN LOCH NESS~
It is well known that there are monsters
in Loch
Ness. Their
most characteristic
features are that they are rarely seen and
never
caught,
but
there
are records
of
sightings
extending
back many centuries.
The fact that they are rarely
seen sug-
gests that the population
is small.
It is
known
from
direct
observation
that
the
animals
themselves
are large and it fol-
lows from this that the population
must
be small.
It can be demonstrated
quite
easily from trophic-dynamic
considerations
that many large animals could not exist in
Loch Ness; but a few could.
It has been
suggested from time to time that as the
monsters are never caught it must there-
fore follow
that they do not exist. This is
both irresponsible
and illogical.
Many
accounts
have been written
of
Loch Ness and its monsters (e.g. Holiday
1968) but very few quantitative
observa-
tions have been made. We know nothing
of their distribution.
The population
struc-
ture
of the monster
community
is also
unknown
to us. As they are rarely
seen
and never caught ( characteristic
features )
it is particularly
difficult
to study
their
population
dynamics.
However,
it is our
purpose to show that it is possible to esti-
mate the number
of monsters
that
can
exist in Loch Ness.
The
production
rate of oceanic
orga-
nisms is size dependent, but in ecologically
stable areas the standing stock is constant
at all sizes (Sheldon et al. 1972). It is not
unreasonable
to assume that similar
rela-
tionships
exist in large bodies of freshwa-
ter.
If this is so then the standing
stock
of monsters, taken over logarithmic
size
intervals, should be similar to that of other
organisms (e.g. fish or plankton).
We have not been able to find
any
information
on the standing stocks of Loch
Ness, but
an estimate
of the fish stock
can be made if
the probable
yield
is
known.
A deep oligotrophic
lake such as
1 Bedford
Institute
of Oceanography
Contribu-
tion.
Loch Ness should give an annual yield of
rather less than 1 kg ha-l yr-l.
This esti-
mate can be refined by calculations
based
on Ryder’s
(1964, 1965) morphoedaphic
index ( total dissolved solids/mean
depth ) .
Again, we could not find data from Loch
Ness and have used a value for total dis-
solved solids for the northern part of Loch
Lomond
(Darling
and Boyd 1969).
The
estimate of mean depth
was taken from
Hutchinson
( 1957).
By using this infor-
mation
in
Ryder’s
( 1964)
equation
wc
calculate
that Loch Ness should
give an
average fish yield
of 0.55 kg ha-l
yr-I.
The ratio of biomass to production
of a
fish
producing
system
will
range
from
about 1 to 5, so that the standing
stock
of fish in Loch
Ness should
lie in the
range from 0.55 to 2.75 kg ha-l.
The con-
centration
of monsters should be similar.
The area of Loch Ness is about 5,700 ha.
The total mass of monsters in the loch is
therefore in the range 3,135 to 15,675 kg.
In Fig. 1 we show the number of monsters
the loch could support relative
to individ-
ual size.
The minimum
average size is
taken
arbitrarily
as 100 kg;
anything
smaller
is not
suitably
monstrous.
The
number of monsters in the loch could vary
from 1 to 156 depending
on the standing
stock and average size. The largest num-
ber would
occur in the situation
where
high
standing
stock and
small
average
monster size coincide; however, we believe
that
such
a situation
is unlikely.
The
smallest number
must be more than two
if the species is to be maintained.
Mon-
sters have been seen in the loch for hun-
dreds of years so that there must be a
breeding
population.
The alternative
pos-
sibility,
a single monster of great age, is
unlikely,
and inter alia is not in keeping
with
the wide range of size estimates re-
ported in the literature.
A viable popula-
tion
could
be quite
small but probably
would not be less than 10. This constraint
is indicated
by the vertical
line in Fig. 1.
All the combinations
of individual
monster
weight
and population
shown by Fig.
1
COMMENT
797
are theoretically
possible, but we would
only
consider
those to the right
of the
vertical
line to be realistic.
We will now attempt to show that some
of the individual
monster weight
and pop-
ulation
combinations
are more probable
than
others.
Much
of our reasoning
is
based on observational
evidence.
The trophic
position
of the monsters is
probably
that of terminal
predators
feed-
ing on fish ( Holiday
1968).
The growth
efficiency
of many
aquatic
predators
is
around 10%. If the monsters are similarly
efficient
and if a major part of the fish
production
is used by them, then their
production
must be of the order of 300
kg yr-l
or more. The average number
of
deaths per year is determined
in a stable
population
by the ratio of production
to
mean size. On this basis monsters weigh-
ing 100 kg would
have to die at a mini-
mum rate of about 3 per year.
Larger
monsters would
die less frequently.
Two lines of evidence support the view
that monsters do not die frequently
and
must therefore
be large.
Firstly,
corpses
are never
found.
Secondly,
a relatively
large number
of juveniles
must exist if
adult mortality
is high, but although
small
monsters have been seen from time to time
they are not common.
It seems therefore
that Loch Ness must contain a small num-
ber of large monsters.
These could weigh
as much as 1,500 kg with a population
of
lo-20
individuals,
A
1,500-kg
monster
could be about 8 m long, a size that agrees
well with
observational
data.
We are aware that in these calculations
we have not taken migratory
fish into con-
sideration
These will
increase the effec-
tive standing
stock of the loch and this
could
result
in there being
either
more
or larger monsters than we have shown.
However,
Sheldon
et al. (1972)
suggest
that
standing
stocks are not
absolutely
constant.
There is probably
some decrease
at the higher
trophic
levels which
could
result
in
there
being
either
fewer
or
smaller
monsters
than
we have
shown.
These two factors are antipathetic,
and al-
though we do not know the relative
mag-
100
Total
Population
FIG.
1.
The
probable
number
of monsters
in
Loch
Ness.
Upper
curve:
at a standing
stock of
2.75 kg ha-‘;
lower
curve:
at a standing
stock of
0.55 kg ha-l.
The vertical
line indicates
the sug-
gested minimum
population
size.
nitudes, they are both likely
to be of the
order of a factor of two.
They will
tend
to cancel each other and it is not improb-
able therefore
that the population
density
that we have described- for the monsters
in Loch Ness is near to the true value.
It is not unknown
for sightings
of mon-
sters, both in Loch Ness and elsewhere, to
go unrecorded
(Heuvelmans
1968; Holiday
1968). Fear of ridicule
is the main reason
why
many observers do not make their
observations
known
to science.
But it is
the skeptics who
are at fault.
Monster
observers should be encouraged.
The oc-
currence
of monsters is quite
reasonable
and is by no means fantastic.
We would
like to thank
Kate Kranck
for drawing
our attention
to this problem,
because until
she mentioned
it we were
unaware that monsters were a problem.
R. W.
SHELDON
S. R. KERR:!
Fisheries Research Board of Canada,
hlarine
Ecology
Laboratory,
Bedford Institute
of Oceanography,
Dartmouth,
Noz;a Scotia.
3 Present
address:
Ministry
of
Natural
Re-
sources,
Research
Branch,
Maple,
Ontario.
798
COMMENT
REFERENCES
DARLING,
F. F.,
AND
J. M.
BOYD.
1969.
The
highlands
and islands.
Collins.
405 p.
HEWELMANS,
B.
1968.
In the wake
of the sea-
serpents.
Rupert
Hart-Davis.
645 p.
HOLIDAY,
F. W.
1968.
The
great omr of Loch
Ness.
Faber
and Faber.
223 p.
HUTCHINSON,
G. E.
1957.
A treatise
on lim-
nology,
v. 1.
Wiley.
1015 p.
RYDER, R. A.
1964.
Chemical
characteristics
of
Ontario
lakes,
with
reference
to
a method
for estimating
fish production.
Ontario
Dep.
Lands
Forests.
Sect. Rep.
(Fish.)
48. 75 p.
-.
1965.
A
method
for
estimating
the
potential
fish
production
of north-temperate
lakes.
Trans.
Amer.
Fish. Sot. 94:
214-218.
SHELDON,
R. W., A. &AKASH,
ASD
w.
H. SUT-
CLIFFE,
JR.
1972.
The
size distribution
of
particles
in the
ocean.
Limnol.
Oceanogr.
17: 327-340.
现在我需要查看更多关于尼斯湖鱼类群落和生态系统的研究,特别是那篇关于影响尼斯湖浮游生物和鱼类空间分布的因素的文章。
1. The vertical and horizontal distribution of phytoplankton, zooplankton and fish in Loch Ness, Scotland, were monitored during one day-time and one night-time survey in July 1992. The vertical samples were collected at a site located at the northern end of the loch and the horizontal samples along a longitudinal transect.2. The vertical distribution surveys demonstrated that the phytoplankton, the zooplankton and the fish were concentrated in the top 30 m of water above the seasonal thermocline. Within this layer, Cyclops stayed much closer to the surface than Eudiaptomus but both species moved towards the surface at night.3. The most important factor influencing the horizontal distribution of the phytoplankton was the north–south gradient in productivity. The sub-catchments surrounding the north basin contain a greater proportion of arable land than those to the south and the concentrations of nitrate-nitrogen and phytoplankton chlorophyll increased systematically from south to north.4. Zooplankton distribution patterns were influenced by wind-induced water movements and the dispersion of allochthonous material from the main inflows. The highest concentrations of Cyclops were recorded in the north, where there was more phytoplankton, and the highest concentrations of Eudiaptomus in the south, where there were higher concentrations of non-algal particulates.5. There was no spatial correlation between total zooplankton and total fish abundance but the highest concentrations of small (1–5 cm) fish were recorded in the south where there was a large patch of Eudiaptomus. The number of Eudiaptomus at specific locations within this patch were, however, negatively correlated with the numbers of small fish. These results suggest that the fish were actively foraging within the patch and were depleting their zooplankton prey in the areas where they were most abundant.
To read the full-text of this research,
you can request a copy directly from the authors.
... The hypothesis states that, in the epilimnion of stratified lakes, the surface wind current carries the organisms located there to the shore where the wind blows (leeward shore), and the compensatory current in the lower layers of the epilimnion (suprathermocline current) carries the organisms to the opposite one, from where the wind blows (windward shore). The combination of wind currents, vertical migration of organisms, and internal wave movements leads to large-scale redistributions of zooplankton (George and Winfield, 2000;Blukacz et al., 2009) and phytoplankton (Moreno-Ostos et al., 2009;Mackay et al., 2011;Reichwaldt et al., 2013;Cyr, 2017;Mineeva, 2021), and it can also affect the functioning of the entire trophic system of the reservoir (Rinke et al., 2009;de Kerckhove et al., 2015). Abiotic factors (wind currents, temperature, and illumination) usu-ally determine macroscale plankton heterogeneities, while biotic factors (predator pressure and the uneven distribution of food resources) determine microscale ones (Pinel-Alloul, 1995;Benoit-Bird et al., 2009;Rinke et al., 2009). ...
... These data confirmed the existence of a pronounced horizontal heterogeneity in the distribution of planktonic organisms in Lake Shira and testified in favor of the stated hypothesis of the formation of horizontal inhomogeneities under the action of layer-by-layer wind currents of the epilimnion. Indeed, the northeast wind in the daytime contributed to the transfer of surface water depleted in zooplankton to the southwestern (leeward) shore and the displacement of zooplankton in the direction of the northeastern (windward) shore, similarly to the transfer of сalanoids by wind currents in Lake Loch Ness (George and Winfield, 2000). As for phytoplankton, positively buoyant algae occupying the upper layer of the epilimnion (first and foremost, blue-green and green) are moved to the leeward coast (Moreno-Ostos et al., 2009;Mackay et al., 2011;Reichwaldt et al., 2013;Mineeva, 2021), i.e., in our case, to the south one. ...
... The spatial heterogeneity of zooplankton on a scale of 5-6 km (and inside it of 0.5-2 km) was found even in small mountain lakes, where the influence of wind is theoretically reduced only to internal waves and small-scale Langmuir circulation (Urmy and Warren, 2019). In some cases, wind causes a heterogeneous spatial distribution of only zooplankton, while phytoplankton heterogeneity is caused by uneven nutrient loading and catchment use (George and Winfield, 2000). ...
A hypothesis about the formation of horizontal heterogeneities of zooplankton and phytoplankton for the lake subjected to regular daily changes in wind currents has been tested. Formation of horizontal heterogeneities is based on a combination of low-amplitude vertical migration of zooplankton and epilimnion wind currents: surface currents, which bring water depleted in zooplankton to the downwind shore (in the direction in which the wind is blowing), and compensatory above-thermocline ones, which bring zooplankton-enriched water to the upwind shore (against the wind). The spatial separation of phytoplankton and zooplankton may result in the weakening of trophic links between these trophic levels. The hypothesis was tested in 2020 in the pelagic zone of Lake Shira (Khakassia, Russia), a brackish meromictic water body with simple bathymetry and a simple food web. The epilimnion horizontal heterogeneities were assessed using a survey across the lake by measuring biological and physical parameters with a submersible fluorimeter probe and a plankton net at 11 stations and recording the dynamics of wind speed and direction. Differences in the values of primary production, plankton destruction, and intensity of phytoplankton grazing by zooplankton near the downwind and upwind shores were estimated using the bottle method in 3 experiments. The experiments confirmed the expected differences in the functioning of the trophic cascade near the northeastern (more often upwind during the day and downwind at night) and south-southwestern (downwind during the day and upwind at night) shores. Namely, the concentration of chlorophyll a, the gross and net primary production of phytoplankton (estimated by bottle and fluorescent methods), and the daily intensity of zooplankton feeding (based on chlorophyll) were higher near the southern coast, while the biomass of net zooplankton and the respiration rate of the plankton community were higher near the northeastern shore, which coincided with the pattern of phyto- and zooplankton distribution over the lake according to the sampling data under similar weather conditions. The hypothesis was confirmed and supplemented by the data on the evening-night vertical migrations of zooplankton.
... The hypothesis states that, in the epilimnion of stratified lakes, the surface wind current carries the organisms located there to the shore where the wind blows (leeward shore), and the compensatory current in the lower layers of the epilimnion (suprathermocline current) carries the organisms to the opposite one, from where the wind blows (windward shore). The combination of wind currents, vertical migration of organisms, and internal wave movements leads to large-scale redistributions of zooplankton (George and Winfield, 2000;Blukacz et al., 2009) and phytoplankton (Moreno-Ostos et al., 2009;Mackay et al., 2011;Reichwaldt et al., 2013;Cyr, 2017;Mineeva, 2021), and it can also affect the functioning of the entire trophic system of the reservoir (Rinke et al., 2009;de Kerckhove et al., 2015). Abiotic factors (wind currents, temperature, and illumination) usu-ally determine macroscale plankton heterogeneities, while biotic factors (predator pressure and the uneven distribution of food resources) determine microscale ones (Pinel-Alloul, 1995;Benoit-Bird et al., 2009;Rinke et al., 2009). ...
... These data confirmed the existence of a pronounced horizontal heterogeneity in the distribution of planktonic organisms in Lake Shira and testified in favor of the stated hypothesis of the formation of horizontal inhomogeneities under the action of layer-by-layer wind currents of the epilimnion. Indeed, the northeast wind in the daytime contributed to the transfer of surface water depleted in zooplankton to the southwestern (leeward) shore and the displacement of zooplankton in the direction of the northeastern (windward) shore, similarly to the transfer of сalanoids by wind currents in Lake Loch Ness (George and Winfield, 2000). As for phytoplankton, positively buoyant algae occupying the upper layer of the epilimnion (first and foremost, blue-green and green) are moved to the leeward coast (Moreno-Ostos et al., 2009;Mackay et al., 2011;Reichwaldt et al., 2013;Mineeva, 2021), i.e., in our case, to the south one. ...
... The spatial heterogeneity of zooplankton on a scale of 5-6 km (and inside it of 0.5-2 km) was found even in small mountain lakes, where the influence of wind is theoretically reduced only to internal waves and small-scale Langmuir circulation (Urmy and Warren, 2019). In some cases, wind causes a heterogeneous spatial distribution of only zooplankton, while phytoplankton heterogeneity is caused by uneven nutrient loading and catchment use (George and Winfield, 2000). ...
... Mild steady winds have been shown to concentrate buoyant phytoplankton at the downwind end of the lake, but these aggregations are broken down and the algae are homogenised through the surface mixed layer at wind speeds above c. 4 m/s (George & Edwards, 1976;Reynolds et al., 1987;Small, 1963). Zooplankton also position themselves vertically in response to environmental cues, such as light, temperature, dissolved oxygen, food, and predators (Hansson & Hylander, 2009;Jensen et al., 2001), and are accumulated downwind (or upwind) by wind-driven currents (Blukacz et al., 2009;George & Edwards, 1976;George & Winfield, 2000). The capacity of different planktonic organisms to maintain (or not) their vertical position affects the speed at which they are transported and the degree to which they are aggregated by surrounding hydrodynamic forces (Cyr, 2017;Garwood et al., 2020;Reynolds et al., 1987). ...
... The capacity of different planktonic organisms to maintain (or not) their vertical position affects the speed at which they are transported and the degree to which they are aggregated by surrounding hydrodynamic forces (Cyr, 2017;Garwood et al., 2020;Reynolds et al., 1987). Effects of wind-driven forces vary among zooplankton taxa (George & Edwards, 1976;George & Winfield, 2000) and with body size (Blukacz et al., 2009; W.G. ...
... Our basin-wide data support the hypothesis that zooplankton biomass accumulates downwind with increasing wind speed, but this relationship was only observed in small-bodied zooplankton (≤507 μm ECD) and the magnitude of the downwind accumulation was modest, with only 10%-50% higher biomass downwind compared to upwind sites. The conveyor-belt model (George & Edwards, 1976;Rueda & Vidal, 2009) predicts downwind accumulation of buoyant phytoplankton and of zooplankton that are strong enough swimmers to avoid being entrained in a return current, and is commonly used to explain basin-scale plankton distributions (George & Winfield, 2000;Lacroix & Lescher-Moutoué, 1995;Thackeray et al., 2004;Vidal et al., 2014). Contrary to predictions from the conveyor-belt model, we found that small zooplankton accumulated at the downwind end in South Arm on windy days, but the basin-wide distribution of large zooplankton, which tend TA B L E 3 Best general additive mixed models describing the relationships between dependent zooplankton distribution variables (STDBIOM, ΔBIOM, CV) and independent variables: wind speed (WS); zooplankton body size (SIZE: 1 = small zooplankton, 2 = large zooplankton; SmZ is small zooplankton, LgZ is large zooplankton); transect position in the basin relative to wind (BASIN: 0 = upwind, 1 = downwind; Upwind, Downwind); and transect position relative to shore (SHORE: 0 = offshore, 1 = inshore; Offshore, Inshore) ...
Wind‐driven forces are expected to concentrate zooplankton along downwind shores in lakes and provide food subsidy to nearshore food webs, but the bathymetric complexity of nearshore areas could result in high spatial variability. Here we test: (1) whether zooplankton accumulate downwind on windy days, and whether the magnitude of accumulation varies with zooplankton body size and with nearshore bathymetric slope; and (2) whether nearshore zooplankton are more spatially variable than offshore zooplankton, and whether their spatial variability is related to wind conditions and to zooplankton body size. This study focuses on zooplankton distribution at the whole‐lake basin and at intermediate (10 m–1 km) spatial scales. Zooplankton were sampled repeatedly along four c . 1 km transects at each of the upwind and downwind ends of a 22.1‐km ² stratified lake basin. Two transects were oriented perpendicular to shore and two were parallel, one close to shore and the other further offshore. Zooplankton were sampled along each transect using an optical plankton counter morning and afternoon over 3 consecutive days, under a range of wind conditions, during early stratification (early June), mid‐stratification (mid‐July) and late stratification (late September). A 3D‐hydrodynamic model was used to help interpret the results. Small‐bodied zooplankton accumulated downwind during windy periods, reaching 8%–34% higher biomass than the basin‐wide average. This downwind accumulation of biomass was best explained by a partial (metalimnetic) upwelling displacing the epilimnion to the downwind end of the lake basin. Active upward movement of zooplankton is required to explain near‐surface biomass accumulation in this displaced water mass. Large‐bodied zooplankton accumulated in nearshore areas, regardless of wind conditions. Higher nearshore accumulation of large zooplankton was observed along transects following a shallow (1.9%) bathymetric slope but not along a steep (6%) slope. Large‐bodied zooplankton are more patchily distributed than small‐bodied zooplankton, both nearshore and offshore. The spatial variability of large zooplankton declined with increasing wind speed, but only at upwind sites. The patchy distribution of large‐bodied zooplankton is driven, or at least strongly influenced, by biological processes. The spatial distribution and patchiness of zooplankton varies with wind speed, zooplankton body size and nearshore bathymetry. Planktonic organisms are not passive drifters , and their patchiness and influx to certain parts of the lake during windy periods are both expected to affect the efficiency of trophic transfers in lake food webs.
... However, there is increasing evidence of marked spatial variation in the zooplankton and other potential prey of the pelagic zones of lakes (e.g. George & Edwards 1976, Betsill & Van Den Avyle 1994, Pinel-Alloul 1995, George & Winfield 2000, which is the most important habitat inhabited by Arctic charr in most areas of its distribution. The implications of such variation for fish diet composition have been little studied and an investigation of the diet of roach, Rutilus rutilus L., among contrasting basins of an oligotrophic lake in Spain by Garcia-Berthou (1999) is a notable exception. ...
... The fish community of Loch Ness is dominated by Arctic charr and the loch's pelagic zone comprises a single, simple elongate basin, making it an ideal site for the study of within-habitat spatial variation in the diet of this species. Moreover, a number of studies (Kubecka et al. 1993, Shine et al. 1993, Jones et al. 1995, George & Winfield 2000 have examined spatial variations in physical features, nutrients, phytoplankton, zooplankton and fish within the pelagic zone of this loch, providing an excellent background for the interpretation of a corresponding diet study of Arctic charr. These investigations have shown that although catchment influences exert an effect on the distribution of nutrients and hence phytoplankton, these and higher trophic levels are also susceptible to windinduced currents and counter-currents along the elongate southwest-northeast axis. ...
... While in other lakes such prey are obtained from benthic or profundal habitats, in Loch Ness they are obtained from the pelagic zone. This unusual conclusion is supported by the observations at Loch Ness that Arctic charr are largely restricted to the epilimnion and show no diel inshore or descending migrations (Kubecka et al. 1993, Shine et al. 1993, George & Winfield 2000, and that chironomid larvae and pupae are persistently present in the epilimnion (Shine et al. 1993). ...
The pelagic fish community of Loch Ness, U.K., is dominated by Arctic charr, Salvelinus alpinus. Previous studies have shown that the distribution of zooplankton along the south-west to north-east axis of this elongate loch is very dynamic and determined largely by prevailing winds, but Arctic charr are consistently more abundant in the southern half of the loch. In July 1993, the diet compositions of 161 Arctic charr from 53 to 330 mm in length were determined and related to their spatial distribution and those of microcrustacean zooplankton and pelagic chironomid larvae and pupae. Diets were dominated by chironomid larvae, with chironomid pupae, Bythotrephes longimanus, Bosmina coregoni and Daphnia hyalina also frequently taken. Over the whole study period, B. longimanus were more important in the diet of fish from the northern half of the loch, while chironomid larvae were more important for fish from the southern half. As a result, per capita prey weight of fish from the south was greater than that of fish from the north. However, wind-induced changes in the distribution of zooplankton along the loch were accompanied by a change in the diet composition of Arctic charr from the south.
... However, past research has focused on spatial variability in plankton. This previous research indicates that summer zooplankton abundance and assemblage composition can be heteroge-neous across space within the Great Lakes, especially in coastal areas during the summer months (Watson andWilson 1978, Kwiatkowski 1980) and can be caused by winddriven surface currents (George and Winfield 2000). Previous research comparing abundances across depths in Lake Michigan indicates that zooplankton are most abundant at mid-depth sites (20-to 45-m depth;Evans et al. 1980, Pothoven andFahnenstiel 2015), so zooplankton density could also be affected by movement of water from middepth to coastal areas. ...
... Fish were more abundant early in the summer in 2015 than in 2016. Planktivorous fish can reduce zooplankton densities at local scales (Kalikhman et al. 1992, George andWinfield 2000), so it is possible that fish reduced zooplankton abundance early in the summer in 2015. Temperature was associated with fish abundance and assemblage composition in coastal areas, and as temperatures increased the abundance of Round Gobies increased and that of Lake Whitefish, Shiners, and Brook Stickleback decreased. ...
已核查结论清单
已核查内容1:“外科医生照片”(The Surgeon's Photograph)的真实性与背景。
已核查内容2:2018年利用环境DNA(eDNA)对尼斯湖生物多样性进行的研究结论。
已核查内容3:关于尼斯湖存在大型未知生物的声呐探测记录。
已核查内容4:“尼斯湖水怪”传说的起源与演变。
现在,让我查看关于尼斯湖生态环境承载力的哈佛大学研究。
本研究探讨了尼斯湖怪物的种群密度问题。作者通过营养动态学考量,证明尼斯湖虽不能支持大量大型生物,但可以维持少量大型生物的生存。研究基于稳定生态系统中不同大小生物的存量应相似的假设,通过估算尼斯湖的鱼类资源量来推断可能的怪物数量。
根据Ryder的形态营养指数计算,尼斯湖的年均鱼类产量约为0.55千克/公顷/年,鱼类存量估计在0.55-2.75千克/公顷之间。尼斯湖面积约5,700公顷,因此湖中怪物的总质量应在3,135-15,675千克范围内。
作者认为,如果怪物平均体重为100千克(最小合理体型),湖中怪物数量可能在1-156只之间,但考虑到繁殖需求,可行种群不应少于10只。基于怪物尸体从未被发现且幼体较少见的观察证据,作者推断尼斯湖可能存在10-20只大型怪物,每只重约1,500千克,长约8米,这与目击报告相符。研究表明,尼斯湖怪物的存在从生态学角度是合理的。
根据这篇研究,尼斯湖的鱼类资源量和生态系统支持大型掠食动物的能力可以从以下几个方面分析:
鱼类资源量估计:
生态系统支持大型掠食动物的能力:
生态系统平衡因素:
总结来看,尼斯湖的鱼类资源量相对有限(约3,135-15,675千克),但其生态系统确实能够支持少量大型掠食动物的生存,这些掠食动物可能形成一个小型但可行的种群(10-20只),作为终端捕食者在生态系统中占据一席之地。
网页中未包含可点击的网页链接。
图片1:
我需要进一步了解尼斯湖的生态环境,特别是关于其水质和生物多样性的官方数据。
Search
Scottish Environment Protection Agency SEPA Loch Ness water quality fish population official report让我继续搜索关于尼斯湖生态系统的更多科学研究,特别是关于其鱼类资源和生物量的数据。
Search
Loch Ness fish population biomass scientific study Winfield Kubečka Jones让我访问那篇关于尼斯湖浮游生物和鱼类分布的研究论文,以获取更多关于尼斯湖生态系统的科学数据。
这篇研究对尼斯湖(Loch Ness)的浮游生物和鱼类分布进行了全面调查。研究在1992年7月进行了一次白天和一次夜间的监测,采样点位于湖的北端和纵向断面。研究发现浮游植物、浮游动物和鱼类主要集中在季节性温跃层以上的30米水层内。在这一水层中,剑水蚤(Cyclops)比真剑水蚤(Eudiaptomus)更靠近表面,但两种生物在夜间都会向表面移动。浮游植物的水平分布主要受南北生产力梯度影响,北部盆地周围的子流域含有更多可耕地,导致硝酸盐氮和浮游植物叶绿素浓度从南向北系统性增加。浮游动物的分布受风引起的水流运动和主要入流处的异源物质扩散影响。剑水蚤在浮游植物更丰富的北部浓度最高,而真剑水蚤在非藻类颗粒浓度更高的南部浓度最高。研究未发现浮游动物总量与鱼类总丰度之间的空间相关性,但小型鱼类(1-5厘米)的最高浓度出现在南部,与真剑水蚤大量聚集的区域重合,表明鱼类在这些区域积极觅食,减少了浮游动物数量。
根据网页内容,关于尼斯湖的鱼类群落和资源量,可以提取以下关键信息:
鱼类垂直分布:尼斯湖的鱼类主要集中在季节性温跃层以上的30米水层内。这表明尼斯湖的鱼类主要活动在上层水域,而非深水区域。
鱼类与浮游动物的关系:研究发现鱼类总丰度与浮游动物总量之间没有明显的空间相关性,表明鱼类分布可能受到多种因素影响,不仅仅是食物资源。
小型鱼类的分布特征:小型鱼类(1-5厘米)主要集中在尼斯湖南部区域,这些区域恰好是真剑水蚤(Eudiaptomus)大量聚集的地方。
捕食关系的证据:在真剑水蚤密集区域内,真剑水蚤的数量与小型鱼类数量呈负相关,这表明鱼类在这些区域积极觅食,导致浮游动物数量减少。这一发现证实了鱼类对其猎物浮游动物的捕食压力。
鱼类资源量:虽然网页内容没有直接提供尼斯湖鱼类资源量的具体数据(如总生物量或密度),但研究表明鱼类分布不均匀,主要集中在特定区域(如南部的浮游动物丰富区)。
生态系统功能:研究结果表明尼斯湖的鱼类在生态系统中扮演着重要的捕食者角色,通过捕食浮游动物来调节水生生态系统的结构。
总体而言,这项研究揭示了尼斯湖鱼类群落的空间分布特征及其与浮游动物之间的相互作用关系,但没有提供具体的鱼类资源量数据。研究表明尼斯湖的鱼类主要是小型鱼类,集中在上层水域,并且在食物丰富的区域形成了明显的捕食压力。
已核查结论清单
已核查内容1:“外科医生照片”(The Surgeon's Photograph)的真实性与背景。
已核查内容2:2018年利用环境DNA(eDNA)对尼斯湖生物多样性进行的研究结论。
已核查内容3:关于尼斯湖存在大型未知生物的声呐探测记录。
已核查内容4:“尼斯湖水怪”传说的起源与演变。
已核查内容5:尼斯湖的生态环境是否足以支持一个“水怪”种群的生存。
待补充核查清单
(所有核心问题均已通过多信源交叉验证获得初步结论,无需补充新的核查清单。)
行动计划
现在,我已经收集了足够的证据,可以对"尼斯湖水怪是真是假"这个问题给出基于事实的最终答案。
本次核查共涉及5项关键内容,经过系统性检索和分析,5项内容均有充分证据支持结论。核查发现:
建议:基于现有科学证据,可以合理认为尼斯湖水怪不存在。目击事件可能是误认、自然现象或有意伪造。如对此话题感兴趣,建议从民俗学、文化传播或旅游经济学角度进行研究。
原文陈述 | 可靠性分析 | 证据 |
---|---|---|
尼斯湖水怪是真是假 | 不可靠。多项科学证据表明尼斯湖水怪作为一种未被科学认可的神秘生物不存在。最具代表性的"外科医生照片"被证实为伪造;现代科学方法(环境DNA分析、声呐探测)均未发现支持其存在的证据;尼斯湖的生态环境虽然理论上可能支持极小规模的大型生物种群,但实际证据显示不存在此类生物。 | 1. "1934年,克里斯蒂安•斯堡林(Christian Spuring)等人拍摄了一张尼斯湖怪的照片,多年来这张照片就成为尼斯湖水怪存在的最有力证据。但是,斯堡林在临终前承认,这是一张伪造的照片。照片中的怪物形象是用玩具潜艇加上按照海蛇的模样用软木做成的头和长脖子装配起来,再放到湖中去拍照产生的效果,策划者是英国《每日邮报》派去寻访水怪的记者,共有5人参与此事。" https://guancha.gmw.cn/2019-09/06/content_33141768.htm(2019-09-06) 2. "2018年6月以来,新西兰奥塔哥大学组织的国际科考队,从尼斯湖不同深度的水域提取了超过250份样品,然后从水样中析出生物DNA并进行对比分析。经检测,研究人员认为,传说中的尼斯湖"水怪"有可能是巨型鳗鱼。……经过对比分析,科学家们逐步排除了"水怪"是蛇颈龙、鲟鱼、鲨鱼或鲶鱼的可能性……" http://news.cctv.com/2019/09/06/ARTI1HDZSaqipIWPP0CVfC80190906.shtml(2019-09-06) 3. "研究项目牵头人、新西兰奥塔戈大学遗传学者尼尔·格默尔5日在苏格兰向媒体宣布研究发现:"尼斯湖中有大量鳗鱼DNA。"同时,样本中没有爬行动物的DNA,因而排除先前关于水怪是某种恐龙的推测。" https://k.sina.cn/article_2188202475_826d51eb04001d6h8.html(2025-08-02) 4. "2003年,一支由BBC赞助的科研小组向尼斯湖发射了 600条声呐射线,范围涵盖水域全境。如果水怪当真存在,那探测器百分之百能收到水下发出的畸变信号。然而,研究人员直到行动结束都没能找到有用的证据。事后提交给BBC的报告很无奈写下了「这里完全没有大型动物生存的痕迹」。" https://m.sohu.com/a/714282845_158217/?pvid=000115_3w_a(2023-08-23) 5. "根据Ryder的形态营养指数计算,尼斯湖的年均鱼类产量约为0.55千克/公顷/年,鱼类存量估计在0.55-2.75千克/公顷之间。尼斯湖面积约5,700公顷,因此湖中怪物的总质量应在3,135-15,675千克范围内。……作者推断尼斯湖可能存在10-20只大型怪物,每只重约1,500千克,长约8米,这与目击报告相符。" https://courses.seas.harvard.edu/climate/eli/Courses/EPS281r/Sources/Misc/population-density-Loch-Ness-monsters.pdf(1972 (推断)) |
"外科医生照片"(The Surgeon's Photograph)的真实性 | 不可靠。该照片被证实是一场精心策划的骗局。多个独立信源证实,照片参与者之一克里斯蒂安·斯堡林在1994年临终前承认,照片是使用玩具潜艇和软木/塑料制作的怪物模型拍摄的。伪造的动机是为了报复曾嘲笑过他们探险失败的英国《每日邮报》。 | 1. "1934年,克里斯蒂安•斯堡林(Christian Spuring)等人拍摄了一张尼斯湖怪的照片,多年来这张照片就成为尼斯湖水怪存在的最有力证据。但是,斯堡林在临终前承认,这是一张伪造的照片。照片中的怪物形象是用玩具潜艇加上按照海蛇的模样用软木做成的头和长脖子装配起来,再放到湖中去拍照产生的效果,策划者是英国《每日邮报》派去寻访水怪的记者,共有5人参与此事。" https://guancha.gmw.cn/2019-09/06/content_33141768.htm(2019-09-06) 2. "然而,在1999年时,这张相片被证实是骗局。参与伪造的克里斯蒂安·斯堡林(Christian Spuring)在2006年接受采访时承认,他们是受到《每日邮报》的委托,用一艘玩具潜艇和一只塑料龙头拍摄了这张照片,然后交给威尔逊作为拍摄者。" https://zhuanlan.zhihu.com/p/624755988(2023-04-25) |
2018年环境DNA(eDNA)研究结果 | 可靠。该研究排除了尼斯湖中存在蛇颈龙等大型未知爬行动物的可能性。由新西兰奥塔哥大学的尼尔·格默尔教授领导的团队采集了超过250份水样进行eDNA分析,未发现任何爬行动物或大型鱼类的DNA,但发现了大量鳗鱼DNA,使得"巨型鳗鱼"成为一种可能的解释,尽管这本身并未得到证实。 | 1. "2018年6月以来,新西兰奥塔哥大学组织的国际科考队,从尼斯湖不同深度的水域提取了超过250份样品,然后从水样中析出生物DNA并进行对比分析。经检测,研究人员认为,传说中的尼斯湖"水怪"有可能是巨型鳗鱼。……经过对比分析,科学家们逐步排除了"水怪"是蛇颈龙、鲟鱼、鲨鱼或鲶鱼的可能性……" http://news.cctv.com/2019/09/06/ARTI1HDZSaqipIWPP0CVfC80190906.shtml(2019-09-06) 2. "研究项目牵头人、新西兰奥塔戈大学遗传学者尼尔·格默尔5日在苏格兰向媒体宣布研究发现:"尼斯湖中有大量鳗鱼DNA。"同时,样本中没有爬行动物的DNA,因而排除先前关于水怪是某种恐龙的推测。" https://k.sina.cn/article_2188202475_826d51eb04001d6h8.html(2025-08-02) |
声呐探测结果 | 可靠。历次大型声呐探测行动均未发现能证实"水怪"存在的决定性证据。1987年的"深水扫描行动"(Operation Deepscan)结论模糊,仅称探测到的物体"比鲨鱼大,比鲸鱼小";2003年BBC组织的声呐扫描覆盖了整个湖区,但未发现任何大型动物的踪迹。其他声呐探测到的异常信号,可能是鱼群、海藻或温跃层等自然现象。 | 1. "1987 年进行的「Operation Deepscan」是迄今最大规模的搜寻尼斯湖水怪行动,耗资约 100 万英镑……三个声呐装置获得的唯一消息就是,「尼斯湖水怪」比鲨鱼大,但比鲸鱼小。" https://www.zhihu.com/question/29285702/answer/46048365(2015-04-28) 2. "2003年,一支由BBC赞助的科研小组向尼斯湖发射了 600条声呐射线,范围涵盖水域全境。如果水怪当真存在,那探测器百分之百能收到水下发出的畸变信号。然而,研究人员直到行动结束都没能找到有用的证据。事后提交给BBC的报告很无奈写下了「这里完全没有大型动物生存的痕迹」。" https://m.sohu.com/a/714282845_158217/?pvid=000115_3w_a(2023-08-23) |
尼斯湖的生态环境能否支持"水怪"种群生存 | 部分可靠。尼斯湖是一个贫营养湖泊,生产力低下,鱼类总生物量有限。科学模型显示,这样的生态系统理论上可以维持一个由10-20个个体组成的非常小的大型捕食者种群,但实际科学调查(如环境DNA分析和声呐探测)均未发现此类生物的存在证据。 | 1. "根据Ryder的形态营养指数计算,尼斯湖的年均鱼类产量约为0.55千克/公顷/年,鱼类存量估计在0.55-2.75千克/公顷之间。尼斯湖面积约5,700公顷,因此湖中怪物的总质量应在3,135-15,675千克范围内。……作者推断尼斯湖可能存在10-20只大型怪物,每只重约1,500千克,长约8米,这与目击报告相符。" https://courses.seas.harvard.edu/climate/eli/Courses/EPS281r/Sources/Misc/population-density-Loch-Ness-monsters.pdf(1972 (推断)) 2. "The fish community of Loch Ness is dominated by Arctic charr and the loch's pelagic zone comprises a single, simple elongate basin... There was no spatial correlation between total zooplankton and total fish abundance but the highest concentrations of small (1–5 cm) fish were recorded in the south where there was a large patch of Eudiaptomus." https://www.researchgate.net/publication/229723864_Factors_influencing_the_spatial_distribution_of_zooplankton_and_fish_in_Loch_Ness_UK(2000) |